Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 17, 2025 at 8.05pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lille2 - 1Nice
We said: Lille 1-1 Nice
Two unstoppable forces in Ligue 1 meet here, with Lille unbeaten in 20 games, and Nice in the best of form of any club not named Paris Saint-Germain in the division. Neither side will be content with a cagey encounter, but there is very little to separate the two, so yet another draw in this fixture is on the cards. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Nice had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Nice |
44.34% ( -0.5) | 25.15% ( 0.01) | 30.5% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 55.45% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.12% ( 0.17) | 47.88% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.94% ( 0.16) | 70.06% ( -0.16) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.4% ( -0.15) | 21.6% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.3% ( -0.23) | 54.7% ( 0.24) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.72% ( 0.42) | 29.28% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.76% ( 0.52) | 65.24% ( -0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
Lille 44.34%
Nice 30.5%
Draw 25.15%
| Lille | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 44.34% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.5% Total : 30.5% |
How you voted: Lille vs Nice
Lille
57.1%Draw
32.5%Nice
10.4%77
Head to Head
May 19, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 34
Lille
2-2
Nice
Arnar Haraldsson (55'), Andre (73')
Arnar Haraldsson (58'), Alexsandro (61'), Andre (90+1')
Zhegrova (90+8')
Arnar Haraldsson (58'), Alexsandro (61'), Andre (90+1')
Zhegrova (90+8')
Aug 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 1
Nice
1-1
Lille
Jan 29, 2023 12pm
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
