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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 17, 2025 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
Sunderland

Burnley
0 - 0
Sunderland


Egan Riley (84'), Anthony (90+7'), Trafford (90+7')
FT

Le Fee (87'), Ballard (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Burnley and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Stoke
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Burnley 1-0 Sunderland

Keeping clean sheets in each of their last four Championship games, Burnley will be supremely confident of repeating the trick on Friday night against Sunderland. The Black Cats performed admirably to beat fellow promotion rivals Sheffield United earlier this month, but we feel that the Wearside will fall short at Turf Moor. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawSunderland
44.88% (-0.212 -0.21) 26.33% (-0.276 -0.28) 28.79% (0.484 0.48)
Both teams to score 50.75% (1.11 1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.46% (1.293 1.29)53.54% (-1.298 -1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.95% (1.082 1.08)75.05% (-1.086 -1.09)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.23% (0.462 0.46)23.76% (-0.465 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.09% (0.662 0.66)57.91% (-0.66800000000001 -0.67)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.57% (1.056 1.06)33.42% (-1.061 -1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.95% (1.141 1.14)70.05% (-1.145 -1.15)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 44.88%
    Sunderland 28.79%
    Draw 26.32%
BurnleyDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 11.41% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.2% (-0.195 -0.2)
3-1 @ 4.31% (0.081 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.11 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 44.88%
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 7.94% (-0.413 -0.41)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.166 0.17)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 8.7% (-0.191 -0.19)
1-2 @ 6.85% (0.14 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.5% (0.121 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.11 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.74% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 28.79%

How you voted: Burnley vs Sunderland

Burnley
69.3%
Draw
22.1%
Sunderland
8.6%
163
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Sunderland
1-0
Burnley
Mundle (26')
Neill (40'), Foster (54'), Rusyn (90+4')
Neill (85')

Egan Riley (9'), Hume (51'), Rodriguez (83')
Mar 31, 2023 8pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Sunderland
2-4
Burnley
Diallo (16'), Neill (20')
Tella (50'), Benson (61'), Zaroury (69'), Brownhill (87')
Aug 28, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Burnley
1-3
Sunderland
Rodriguez (11')
Grigg (35'), Flanagan (47'), Dobson (50')
Mar 18, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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