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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Sunderland |
44.88% ( -0.21) | 26.33% ( -0.28) | 28.79% ( 0.48) |
Both teams to score 50.75% ( 1.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.46% ( 1.29) | 53.54% ( -1.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.95% ( 1.08) | 75.05% ( -1.09) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.23% ( 0.46) | 23.76% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.09% ( 0.66) | 57.91% ( -0.67) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.57% ( 1.06) | 33.42% ( -1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.95% ( 1.14) | 70.05% ( -1.15) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 11.41% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 44.88% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.42% Total : 28.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 59 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 56 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
16 | Millwall | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 34 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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