Braga travel to Greece to face AEK Athens knowing that victory will guarantee their place in the Europa League last 32.
Meanwhile, AEK head into Thursday's encounter looking to produce a better performance than they did in the 3-0 reverse to their next opponents on matchday one.
Match preview
© Reuters
For large parts of last week's fixture with Leicester City, Braga boss Carlos Carvalhal would have anticipated reaching matchday five level on points with the group leaders.
However, the Portuguese outfit conceded a lead to their English opponents on three occasions, the last of which occurred in the fifth minute of added-on time.
While the 3-3 draw allowed Leicester to secure their place in the knockout rounds, Braga were also able to move four points clear of the chasing pack.
Carvalhal and his squad will acknowledge that they may have to settle for a runners-up spot at best, and avoiding defeat on Thursday would force Zorya Luhansk to win their remaining two matches.
Despite failing to impress on the domestic scene this season, Paulinho has contributed three goals and one assist in this competition.
As far as AEK Athens are concerned, they must find a way to respond to last week's surprising 3-0 defeat at home to Luhansk, whose goals all came after the hour mark.
The capitulation was completely unexpected, but AEK will be relieved that they still remain ahead of the Ukrainian side due to their head-to-head record.
Massimo Carrera will be aware of the challenge which awaits his side with a victory away at Leicester City also required to finish in second spot.
Nevertheless, four successive wins on the domestic front has kept AEK trending in the right direction, and they will feel capable of causing a surprise in the capital on Thursday night.
AEK Athens Europa League form: LLWL
AEK Athens form (all competitions): LWWWLW
Braga Europa League form: WWLD
Braga form (all competitions): WLWWDW
Team News
© Reuters
AEK will have to do without Yevhen Shakhov, who was dismissed for two yellow cards in their last fixture.
Petros Mandalos could be brought into the side in his place, while former Swansea City and Norwich City forward Nelson Oliveira is pushing for a start in attack.
David Carmo is back in contention for Braga after a ban for three yellow cards kept him out of the game with Leicester.
Ricardo Horta may be recalled to the starting XI, potentially as a replacement for sibling Andre Horta.
AEK Athens possible starting lineup:
Athanasiadis; Nedelcearu, Chygrynskiy, Svarnas; Bakakis, Mandalos, Krsticic, Simoes, Zapata; Livaja, Tankovic
Braga possible starting lineup:
Matheus; Tormena, Carmo, Viana; Esagaio, Musrati, Castro, Galeno; Medeiros, R.Horta; Paulinho
We say: AEK Athens 1-3 Braga
While Braga were naturally left stunned by Leicester's triple comeback last week, it should not have any lingering effects as they bid to progress through to the next stage. The hosts have already conceded nine goals in Group G, and we expect Braga to inflict more misery on their hosts.
Top betting tip
Darren Plant
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Braga had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.31%) and 3-1 (5.3%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
