MX23RW : Saturday, January 4 15:43:35| >> :60:1241:1241:
Inter logo
Supercoppa Italiana | Semi-Finals
Jan 2, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Atalanta logo

Inter Milan
2 - 0
Atalanta

Dumfries (49', 61')
Augusto (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Scalvini (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Supercoppa Italiana clash between Inter Milan and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cagliari 0-3 Inter Milan
Saturday, December 28 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 1-1 Atalanta
Saturday, December 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 1-0 Atalanta BC

While Atalanta have proven particularly tough to beat in recent weeks, Inter are one of the few sides to defeat them this season. The Scudetto holders are at their best when silverware is at stake, so they can win by a slim margin and progress to the Supercoppa final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.36%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawAtalanta BC
47.36% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 25.81% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05) 26.83% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 50.98% (0.209 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.4% (0.253 0.25)52.6% (-0.251 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.75% (0.215 0.22)74.25% (-0.21499999999999 -0.21)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.79% (0.105 0.11)22.21% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.37% (0.156 0.16)55.62% (-0.155 -0.16)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.53% (0.181 0.18)34.47% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.82% (0.195 0.2)71.18% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 47.35%
    Atalanta BC 26.83%
    Draw 25.8%
Inter MilanDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 11.51% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.67% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 47.35%
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.65% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 8.15% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.53% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 26.83%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Atalanta

Inter Milan
74.0%
Draw
12.4%
Atalanta BC
13.6%
169
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Inter Milan
4-0
Atalanta
Djimsiti (4' og.), Barella (10'), Thuram (47', 56')

de Roon (45+1'), Retegui (53')
Feb 28, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Inter Milan
4-0
Atalanta
Darmian (26'), Martinez (45+1'), Dimarco (54'), Frattesi (71')
Darmian (22'), Bastoni (76')

Ederson (45'), Djimsiti (53'), Hien (65'), Bakker (71'), Bilal Toure (89'), Lookman (90+5')
Nov 4, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 11
Atalanta
1-2
Inter Milan
Scamacca (61')
de Roon (26'), Kolasinac (35'), Piero Gasperini (40'), Toloi (85')
Toloi (90+2')
Calhanoglu (40' pen.), Martinez (57')
Dumfries (89')
May 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Inter Milan
3-2
Atalanta
Lukaku (1'), Barella (3'), Martinez (77')
Pasalic (36'), Onana (90+1' og.)
Toloi (58')
Jan 31, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Inter Milan
1-0
Atalanta
Darmian (57')
rhs 2.0
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5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City199463226631
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