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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 24
Jan 2, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
AFC Wimbledon

Newport
1 - 2
AFC Wimbledon

Greaves (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kelly (49'), Sawyers (77')
Harbottle (41'), Tilley (53'), Kelly (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Newport County and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 2-0 Newport
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-1 AFC Wimbledon

Wimbledon will be targeting all three points to aid in their promotion push, but we think that they may have to settle for a share of the spoils, especially as four of their previous five meetings between the two sides have finished all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 52.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 23.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Newport County win it was 1-0 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
23.77% (-0.349 -0.35) 23.86% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 52.37% (0.29499999999999 0.29)
Both teams to score 54.13% (-0.581 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.96% (-0.581 -0.58)47.04% (0.585 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.72% (-0.544 -0.54)69.29% (0.54599999999999 0.55)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.96% (-0.62299999999999 -0.62)34.04% (0.625 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.28% (-0.676 -0.68)70.72% (0.678 0.68)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (-0.105 -0.11)17.94% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.24% (-0.183 -0.18)48.76% (0.185 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 23.77%
    AFC Wimbledon 52.37%
    Draw 23.85%
Newport CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 6.58% (0.049 0.05)
2-1 @ 6.09% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 3.55% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.19% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.27% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 23.77%
1-1 @ 11.3% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.11% (0.148 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.85%
0-1 @ 10.49% (0.22 0.22)
1-2 @ 9.71% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.01% (0.157 0.16)
1-3 @ 5.56% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.16% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 3% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-4 @ 2.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.22% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 52.37%

How you voted: Newport vs AFC Wimbledon

Newport County
55.6%
Draw
7.4%
AFC Wimbledon
37.0%
27
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
AFC Wimbledon
2-2
Newport
Smith (12'), Stevens (20')
Bugiel (45+1'), O'Toole (51'), Neufville (75')
Jackson (46')
Spellman (26'), McLoughlin (90+7' pen.)
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 39
AFC Wimbledon
0-2
Newport

O'Toole (20')
Morris (9'), Jameson (55')
Lewis (36'), Jameson (36'), Bennett (45'), Payne (70')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Newport
2-2
AFC Wimbledon
Evans (45+2'), Bogle (55')
Delaney (33')
Tilley (9', 30')
Pell (90+6')
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
Newport
Chislett (58')
Zanzala (70' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Doncaster RoversDoncaster4422121069482178
2Port Vale442114963451877
3Bradford CityBradford4421121162431975
4Walsall4420141074532174
5AFC Wimbledon4419131255332270
6Notts County4419121364461869
7Grimsby Town44207176166-567
8Colchester UnitedColchester441618105143866
9Salford City441714135851765
10Chesterfield4417131468531564
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe441517124945462
12Bromley441614145856262
13Swindon TownSwindon441515147062860
14BarrowBarrow441512174947257
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood441415155859-157
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham441512175765-857
17Gillingham441315163945-654
18MK Dons44148225266-1450
19Harrogate TownHarrogate441311204057-1750
20Newport CountyNewport441310215170-1949
21Accrington StanleyAccrington441114195268-1647
22Tranmere RoversTranmere441015193964-2545
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle441011234066-2641
24Morecambe44106283866-2836


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