Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21
Jan 2, 2025 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Kilmarnock2 - 0St Mirren
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hibernian 1-0 Kilmarnock
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: St Mirren 1-2 Dundee
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Goals
for
for
27
We said: Kilmarnock 1-1 St Mirren
In one of the most evenly-matched fixtures of the matchday in the Premiership, it is tough to separate these two, who have both shown promising signs in recent weeks. Killie had taken eight points from a possible 12 before Sunday's defeat, while St Mirren have won six of their last 10 games, so both sides should feel confident of taking something. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | St Mirren |
39.05% ( 0.19) | 27.06% ( 0.03) | 33.88% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 50.47% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.18% ( -0.15) | 54.82% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.88% ( -0.12) | 76.12% ( 0.12) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.63% ( 0.04) | 27.37% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.16% ( 0.05) | 62.84% ( -0.05) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.49% ( -0.22) | 30.5% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.28% ( -0.26) | 66.72% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock 39.04%
St Mirren 33.88%
Draw 27.06%
| Kilmarnock | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 39.04% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.15% Total : 33.88% |
How you voted: Kilmarnock vs St Mirren
Kilmarnock
61.8%Draw
20.6%St Mirren
17.6%34
Head to Head
May 11, 2024 3pm
Form Guide
