Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 49.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 24.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.