Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 14.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.