Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 48.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 25.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahia in this match.
