Brasileiro | Gameweek 7
May 3, 2025 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Presidente Getulio Vargas
Ceara1 - 0Vitoria
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Ceara and Vitoria.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 51.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 22.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ceara in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ceara | Draw | Vitoria |
51.5% ( 0.32) | 25.89% ( 0.06) | 22.61% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 46.73% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.86% ( -0.55) | 56.14% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.79% ( -0.44) | 77.21% ( 0.45) |
| Ceara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.14% ( -0.09) | 21.86% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.89% ( -0.13) | 55.11% ( 0.13) |
| Vitoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.81% ( -0.68) | 40.19% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.17% ( -0.63) | 76.83% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
Ceara 51.49%
Vitoria 22.61%
Draw 25.89%
| Ceara | Draw | Vitoria |
| 1-0 @ 13.36% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 51.49% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.32% Total : 22.61% |
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2020 10.15pm
