Brasileiro | Gameweek 5
Apr 22, 2025 at 12am UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Bahia1 - 0Ceara
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Ceara.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 60.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 16.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Ceara |
60.77% ( -0.46) | 22.72% ( 0.21) | 16.51% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 46.34% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.34% ( -0.43) | 51.66% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.56% ( -0.38) | 73.44% ( 0.38) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.41% ( -0.31) | 16.59% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.6% ( -0.56) | 46.4% ( 0.56) |
| Ceara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.56% ( 0.07) | 44.44% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.52% ( 0.05) | 80.48% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Bahia 60.76%
Ceara 16.51%
Draw 22.72%
| Bahia | Draw | Ceara |
| 1-0 @ 13.24% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 11.89% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.81% Total : 60.76% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 3.91% Other @ 0.69% Total : 22.72% | 0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 1.52% Total : 16.51% |
Head to Head
