Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.