We said: Corinthians 1-1 Cuiaba
Cuiaba will fancy their chances of beating an out-of-sorts Corinthians outfit considering their upturn in form, particularly away from home.
However, the hosts will welcome a return to the Neo Quimica Arena where they are unbeaten in each of their last four games, and we can see the spoils being shared in a low-scoring affair on Saturday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 51.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 21.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.