Brasileiro | Gameweek 19
Jul 24, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Cruzeiro2 - 0Juventude
We said: Cruzeiro 2-1 Juventude
What we have here is a matchup between a side that has been flawless at home in the league this season, against an opponent who has yet to win an away game on the road this term. We feel the hosts will keep their excellent home record intact with another victory in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 61.81%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 16.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cruzeiro | Draw | Juventude |
61.81% ( 0.05) | 21.96% ( 0.09) | 16.23% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 48.02% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.91% ( -0.61) | 49.09% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.83% ( -0.56) | 71.16% ( 0.56) |
| Cruzeiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.64% ( -0.19) | 15.36% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.87% ( -0.35) | 44.13% ( 0.35) |
| Juventude Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.73% ( -0.55) | 43.27% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.48% ( -0.47) | 79.52% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
Cruzeiro 61.81%
Juventude 16.23%
Draw 21.96%
| Cruzeiro | Draw | Juventude |
| 1-0 @ 12.45% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.41% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.17% Total : 61.81% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.79% Total : 21.96% | 0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.6% Total : 16.23% |
How you voted: Cruzeiro vs Juventude
Cruzeiro
83.3%Draw
13.9%Juventude
2.8%36
Form Guide
