MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 18:05:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
Fortaleza
Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jun 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo

Fortaleza
2 - 1
Juventude

Martin Lucero (21' pen.), Pikachu (45+3')
Pikachu (55'), Sasha (69')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ewerton (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Juventude, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fortaleza 3-0 Palmeiras
Thursday, June 27 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 2-1 Flamengo
Thursday, June 27 at 12am in Brasileiro

We said: Fortaleza 1-0 Juventude

While Juventude will be extremely pleased with the start they have made on their return to the top flight, the vast majority of their good work has been done on their home patch, while they are still looking for their first away win of the campaign. Fortaleza are unbeaten at home this term and have kept three consecutive clean sheets on their home patch in this month alone. We feel the hosts will edge the result in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 61.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 16.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawJuventude
61.11% (0.736 0.74) 22.24% (-0.347 -0.35) 16.65% (-0.388 -0.39)
Both teams to score 48.03% (0.266 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.47% (0.77 0.77)49.53% (-0.767 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.44% (0.688 0.69)71.56% (-0.687 -0.69)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.26% (0.514 0.51)15.74% (-0.511 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.16% (0.938 0.94)44.84% (-0.937 -0.94)
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)43% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.71% (-0.026 -0.03)79.29% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 61.1%
    Juventude 16.65%
    Draw 22.24%
FortalezaDrawJuventude
1-0 @ 12.51% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 11.56% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 7.13% (0.149 0.15)
3-1 @ 6.02% (0.12 0.12)
4-0 @ 3.3% (0.125 0.13)
4-1 @ 2.78% (0.103 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.049 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.22% (0.067 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.042 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 61.1%
1-1 @ 10.56% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 6.77% (-0.214 -0.21)
2-2 @ 4.12% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 22.24%
0-1 @ 5.71% (-0.186 -0.19)
1-2 @ 4.46% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.41% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.25% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.16% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 16.65%

How you voted: Fortaleza vs Juventude

Fortaleza
61.5%
Draw
15.4%
Juventude
23.1%
13
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 27
Juventude
1-1
Fortaleza
Gabriel (78')
Doin (45' og.)
May 29, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 8
Fortaleza
1-1
Juventude
Yuri (32'), Henrique (58')
Dec 4, 2021 12am
Aug 22, 2021 1am
Gameweek 17
Juventude
1-1
Fortaleza
Bueno (71')
Jesus (56')
Marcelo (16')
Felipe (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030


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