Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Jul 21, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
Juventude0 - 0Sao Paulo
We said: Juventude 1-1 Sao Paulo
While Sao Paulo have been one of the form sides in the league recently, Juventude have defended their home patch expertly and are yet to lose a match at Arena BRB Mane Garrincha this season. The visitors are likely to enter this match as the bookmakers' favourite but we feel the hosts will be able to secure at least a share of the spoils by the final whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Juventude had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Juventude win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Juventude | Draw | Sao Paulo |
28.91% ( 0.16) | 27.38% ( 0.07) | 43.71% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 47.73% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
