Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
Apr 28, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Cruzeiro3 - 1Vitoria
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Cruzeiro and Vitoria.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Union La Calera 0-0 Cruzeiro
Tuesday, April 23 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Tuesday, April 23 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Vitoria 2-2 Bahia
Sunday, April 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, April 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 56.45%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cruzeiro | Draw | Vitoria |
56.45% ( 0) | 23.96% ( -0) | 19.59% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 48.18% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.88% ( 0) | 52.12% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.16% ( 0) | 73.84% ( -0.01) |
| Cruzeiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.7% ( 0) | 18.3% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.62% ( 0) | 49.38% ( -0.01) |
| Vitoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.97% ( 0) | 41.03% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.42% ( 0) | 77.58% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Cruzeiro 56.44%
Vitoria 19.59%
Draw 23.96%
| Cruzeiro | Draw | Vitoria |
| 1-0 @ 12.75% 2-0 @ 10.82% 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.13% 3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 2.32% 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 3.25% Total : 56.44% | 1-1 @ 11.36% 0-0 @ 7.51% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.79% Total : 23.96% | 0-1 @ 6.69% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.06% 0-2 @ 2.98% 1-3 @ 1.5% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.08% Total : 19.59% |
Form Guide
