MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 21:26:08| >> :60:17:17:
Cruzeiro
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 12, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto

Cruzeiro
3 - 3
Alianza Petrolera

Romero (7'), Ivaldo (12'), Pereira (19')
Marlon (38'), Romero (89'), Veron (90+5')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Batalla (53', 79'), Figueroa (90+6')
Manjarres (21')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Cruzeiro and Alianza Petrolera.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: U. Catolica 0-0 Cruzeiro
Friday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Alianza Petrolera

All competitions
Last Game: Alianza Petrolera 0-1 Union La Calera
Thursday, April 4 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 72.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Alianza Petrolera had a probability of 9.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.37%) and 3-0 (10.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for an Alianza Petrolera win it was 0-1 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
CruzeiroDrawAlianza Petrolera
72.18% (-0.139 -0.14) 18.45% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 9.37% (0.096 0.1)
Both teams to score 39.12% (0.22 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.93% (0.083999999999996 0.08)50.07% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.96% (0.073999999999998 0.07)72.04% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.49% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)12.51% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.49% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)38.51% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Alianza Petrolera Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.72% (0.26 0.26)55.28% (-0.257 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.95% (0.154 0.15)88.05% (-0.15199999999999 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Cruzeiro 72.17%
    Alianza Petrolera 9.37%
    Draw 18.45%
CruzeiroDrawAlianza Petrolera
2-0 @ 14.94% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-0 @ 14.37% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 10.35% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 5.38% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.24% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 72.17%
1-1 @ 8.52% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.92% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.62% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 18.45%
0-1 @ 4.1% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 2.53% (0.03 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.22% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 9.37%

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