Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.