Brasileiro | Gameweek 13

Jun 19, 2022 at 11pm UK

Estádio Olímpico João Havelange

Fluminense
2 - 0
Avai

Cano (5'), Martins (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Silva (75'), Raniele (77'), Chaves (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Avai, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Avai come in with plenty of momentum, while their hosts may be lacking a degree of confidence, and we predict a tight contest as a result. Ultimately, we see a share of the spoils as the most likely outcome, with the newly-promoted side expected to do enough to leave with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Avai had a probability of 20.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Avai
55.32% ( 0.36)	24.45% ( -0.15)	20.22% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 47.71% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.76% (

0.33)

53.24% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.2% (

0.28)

74.8% (

-0.28)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.85% (

0.27)

19.15% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.19% (

0.44)

50.8% (

-0.44)

Avai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.01% (

-0.03)

40.99% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.45% (

-0.03)

77.54% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Fluminense 55.32%

Avai 20.22%

Draw 24.45%

Fluminense	Draw	Avai
1-0 @ 12.97% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 55.32%	1-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.45%	0-1 @ 7% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.21% Total : 20.22%