Brasileiro | Gameweek 8
May 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Fortaleza2 - 0Vasco
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Vasco da Gama.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fortaleza 3-2 San Lorenzo
Wednesday, May 24 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, May 24 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Goals
for
for
10
Last Game: Sao Paulo 4-2 Vasco
Saturday, May 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, May 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 59.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 18.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
59.08% ( 0.03) | 22.83% ( -0.01) | 18.09% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.31% ( 0) | 49.69% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.29% ( 0) | 71.7% ( -0) |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.51% ( 0.01) | 16.48% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.8% ( 0.02) | 46.2% ( -0.02) |
| Vasco da Gama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.67% ( -0.02) | 41.32% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.15% ( -0.02) | 77.84% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Fortaleza 59.06%
Vasco da Gama 18.09%
Draw 22.83%
| Fortaleza | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
| 1-0 @ 12.27% 2-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0)4-0 @ 3% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.65% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.6% 4-2 @ 1.17% 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 1.96% Total : 59.06% | 1-1 @ 10.85% 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0)Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.83% | 0-1 @ 6.02% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.8% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.66% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 18.09% |
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2020 10pm
Form Guide
