Brasileiro | Gameweek 5
May 12, 2023 at 12am UK
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Fortaleza0 - 0Sao Paulo
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Sao Paulo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 Fortaleza
Tuesday, May 9 at 12am in Brasileiro
Tuesday, May 9 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Internacional
Sunday, May 7 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, May 7 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fortaleza | Draw | Sao Paulo |
44.16% ( -0.28) | 26.96% ( -0.22) | 28.88% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 48.94% ( 0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.1% ( 1.04) | 55.9% ( -1.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.99% ( 0.84) | 77.01% ( -0.84) |
Fortaleza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.84% ( 0.33) | 25.16% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.12% ( 0.45) | 59.88% ( -0.45) |
Sao Paulo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.4% ( 0.94) | 34.6% ( -0.95) |