Brasileiro | Gameweek 6
May 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Vasco0 - 1Santos
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Santos.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Coritiba 1-1 Vasco
Thursday, May 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Thursday, May 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 49.88%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Santos had a probability of 22.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vasco da Gama | Draw | Santos |
49.88% ( 0.92) | 27.14% ( -0.28) | 22.98% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 43.84% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.88% ( 0.44) | 60.12% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.67% ( 0.33) | 80.33% ( -0.33) |
| Vasco da Gama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.71% ( 0.63) | 24.29% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.34% ( 0.88) | 58.66% ( -0.88) |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.91% ( -0.37) | 42.09% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.48% ( -0.33) | 78.52% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
Vasco da Gama 49.86%
Santos 22.98%
Draw 27.13%
| Vasco da Gama | Draw | Santos |
| 1-0 @ 14.46% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.2)2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.31% Total : 49.86% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 10.22% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0)Other @ 0.56% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.12% Total : 22.98% |
Head to Head
Dec 20, 2020 7pm
