Brasileiro | Gameweek 38

Nov 13, 2022 at 7pm UK

Estadio da Serrinha

Goias
0 - 4
Sao Paulo

Maguinho (40'), Auremir (63')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Galoppo (20'), Luciano (71'), Guilherme (77'), Juan (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Live Updates

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Goias and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Goias

All competitions

Last Game: Fluminense 3-0 Goias
Wednesday, November 9 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-1 Internacional
Wednesday, November 9 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Goias had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Goias win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Goias	Draw	Sao Paulo
34.81% ( 0.42)	27.44% ( 0.09)	37.76% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 49.46% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.84% (

-0.31)

56.16% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.78% (

-0.25)

77.22% (

0.25)

Goias Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.42% (

0.12)

30.57% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.19% (

0.14)

66.8% (

-0.14)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.24% (

-0.45)

28.76% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.4% (

-0.56)

64.6% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

Goias 34.81%

Sao Paulo 37.75%

Draw 27.43%

Goias	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 34.81%	1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.43%	0-1 @ 10.95% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.65% Total : 37.75%