Brasileiro | Gameweek 7
May 4, 2025 at 8pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Gremio1 - 0Santos
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Santos.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Santos had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gremio in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Santos |
41.97% ( -0.67) | 27.14% ( 0.28) | 30.89% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 49.36% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.17% ( -0.94) | 55.82% ( 0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.05% ( -0.77) | 76.95% ( 0.77) |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.75% ( -0.78) | 26.25% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.63% ( -1.06) | 61.36% ( 1.06) |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.93% ( -0.2) | 33.07% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.34% ( -0.23) | 69.66% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
Gremio 41.97%
Santos 30.89%
Draw 27.13%
| Gremio | Draw | Santos |
| 1-0 @ 11.61% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.16% Total : 41.97% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.89% |
