Brasileiro | Gameweek 2
Apr 7, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Urbano Caldeira
Santos2 - 2Bahia
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Santos and Bahia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vasco 2-1 Santos
Sunday, March 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, March 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
1
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 48%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 25.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santos | Draw | Bahia |
48% ( 0.25) | 26.16% ( -0.15) | 25.84% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 49.15% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.41% ( 0.52) | 54.59% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.06% ( 0.43) | 75.93% ( -0.43) |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.24% ( 0.33) | 22.76% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.56% ( 0.49) | 56.44% ( -0.49) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.63% ( 0.2) | 36.37% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.84% ( 0.2) | 73.15% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
Santos 48%
Bahia 25.84%
Draw 26.15%
| Santos | Draw | Bahia |
| 1-0 @ 12.25% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 9.07% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.89% Total : 48% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.86% Total : 25.84% |
Head to Head
May 31, 2023 11pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Bahia
1-1
Santos
(Aggregate 1-1 | Bahia win 4-3 on penalties)
Mezenga (90+5')
Fernandez (46')
Fernandez (46')
May 10, 2023 11pm
Sep 12, 2021 1am
