Brasileiro | Gameweek 1
May 30, 2021 at 12am UK
Estadio de Pituacu
Bahia3 - 0Santos
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Santos.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Santos had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Santos |
| 46.7% | 25.59% | 27.7% |
| Both teams to score 52.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.79% | 51.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.95% | 73.05% |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.08% | 21.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.81% | 55.19% |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.96% | 33.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.37% | 69.62% |
| Score Analysis |
Bahia 46.7%
Santos 27.7%
Draw 25.59%
| Bahia | Draw | Santos |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% 2-1 @ 9.24% 2-0 @ 8.34% 3-1 @ 4.67% 3-0 @ 4.22% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.3% Total : 46.7% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 7.24% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.02% 1-2 @ 6.74% 0-2 @ 4.44% 1-3 @ 2.49% 2-3 @ 1.89% 0-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.48% Total : 27.7% |
