Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 52.19%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 22.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.01) 
