Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Santos and Bahia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 52.19%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 22.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santos | Draw | Bahia |
52.19% ( 0.04) | 25.07% ( -0.01) | 22.75% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.23% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.06% ( 0.03) | 52.94% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.46% ( 0.03) | 74.54% ( -0.03) |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.72% ( 0.03) | 20.28% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.36% ( 0.05) | 52.64% ( -0.05) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.75% ( -0.01) | 38.25% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.99% ( -0.01) | 75.01% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Santos 52.18%
Bahia 22.75%
Draw 25.06%
| Santos | Draw | Bahia |
| 1-0 @ 12.37% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 52.18% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0)Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 1.56% Total : 22.75% |
How you voted: Santos vs Bahia
Santos
81.8%Draw
9.1%Bahia
9.1%11
