Brasileiro | Gameweek 33
Oct 22, 2022 at 11pm UK
Vila Belmiro, Santos
Santos0 - 1Corinthians
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Santos and Corinthians.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bragantino 0-2 Santos
Tuesday, October 18 at 12am in Brasileiro
Tuesday, October 18 at 12am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
38
Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Corinthians (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, October 20 at 1.45am in Copa do Brasil
Thursday, October 20 at 1.45am in Copa do Brasil
Goals
for
for
38
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santos | Draw | Corinthians |
45.47% ( 0.3) | 26.88% ( -0.05) | 27.65% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 48.42% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.79% ( 0.06) | 56.21% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.74% ( 0.05) | 77.26% ( -0.05) |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.35% ( 0.18) | 24.65% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.83% ( 0.25) | 59.17% ( -0.24) |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.26% ( -0.17) | 35.74% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.48% ( -0.17) | 72.52% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
Santos 45.46%
Corinthians 27.65%
Draw 26.88%
| Santos | Draw | Corinthians |
| 1-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.42% Total : 45.46% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 27.65% |
Form Guide
