MX23RW : Monday, March 10 22:32:49| >> :60:21:21:
Santos
Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 14, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Corinthians

Santos
1 - 0
Corinthians

Leonardo (67' pen.)
Fernandez (84'), Leonardo (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Queiroz (26'), Melo (40'), Gustavo (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between Santos and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Santos 1-0 Atletico GO
Sunday, July 10 at 10pm in Brasileiro

We said: Santos 0-0 Corinthians

Given the extent to which this tie already feels concluded, we can envisage a fairly drab affair ensuing on Thursday. Neither side are likely to wish to exert too much energy ahead of important matches at the weekend, so Corinthians should comfortably progress having already put in the hard yards in the home leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 53.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 19.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santos in this match.

Result
SantosDrawCorinthians
53.84% (1.327 1.33) 26.2% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 19.96% (-1.327 -1.33)
Both teams to score 42.7% (-1.673 -1.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.32% (-1.268 -1.27)59.68% (1.265 1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20% (-0.982 -0.98)79.99% (0.979 0.98)
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (0.037000000000006 0.04)22.33% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.18% (0.057000000000002 0.06)55.81% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.98% (-2.184 -2.18)45.02% (2.181 2.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.05% (-1.794 -1.79)80.95% (1.792 1.79)
Score Analysis
    Santos 53.83%
    Corinthians 19.96%
    Draw 26.18%
SantosDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 15.07% (0.72 0.72)
2-0 @ 11.29% (0.55 0.55)
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.65% (0.283 0.28)
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 53.83%
1-1 @ 12.02% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 10.05% (0.466 0.47)
2-2 @ 3.6% (-0.263 -0.26)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 8.02% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-2 @ 4.8% (-0.357 -0.36)
0-2 @ 3.2% (-0.242 -0.24)
1-3 @ 1.28% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-3 @ 0.96% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 19.96%

How you voted: Santos vs Corinthians

Santos
30.4%
Draw
39.1%
Corinthians
30.4%
23
Head to Head
Jun 25, 2022 11pm
Corinthians
0-0
Santos

Roni (3'), Adson (73'), Fagner (79')

Gabriel (23'), Fernandez (81'), Seco (90+5')
Jun 23, 2022 1.30am
Nov 21, 2021 7pm
Aug 8, 2021 8pm
Feb 17, 2021 10pm
rhs 2.0
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