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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Union Berlin |
29.26% | 26.02% | 44.72% |
Both teams to score 51.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.89% | 52.11% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.17% | 73.83% |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.67% | 32.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.16% | 68.84% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.78% | 23.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.88% | 57.12% |
Score Analysis |
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 8.48% 2-1 @ 6.99% 2-0 @ 4.79% 3-1 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 1.92% 3-0 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.66% Total : 29.26% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.51% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 10.96% 1-2 @ 9.04% 0-2 @ 8% 1-3 @ 4.4% 0-3 @ 3.9% 2-3 @ 2.48% 1-4 @ 1.61% 0-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.01% Total : 44.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 25 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
10 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 6 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |