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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.62%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Mainz 05 |
49.54% | 22% | 28.46% |
Both teams to score 65.29% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.64% | 34.36% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.72% | 56.27% |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.71% | 14.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.9% | 42.1% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.18% | 23.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.01% | 57.99% |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 9.24% 1-0 @ 6.62% 2-0 @ 6.44% 3-1 @ 5.99% 3-2 @ 4.3% 3-0 @ 4.18% 4-1 @ 2.92% 4-2 @ 2.09% 4-0 @ 2.03% 5-1 @ 1.13% 4-3 @ 1% Other @ 3.59% Total : 49.54% | 1-1 @ 9.5% 2-2 @ 6.63% 0-0 @ 3.41% 3-3 @ 2.06% Other @ 0.4% Total : 22% | 1-2 @ 6.82% 0-1 @ 4.89% 0-2 @ 3.5% 1-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 1.68% 1-4 @ 1.17% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.84% Total : 28.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |