CAF Champions League | First Preliminary Round | 1st Leg
Aug 17, 2024 at 2pm UK
Masaka Recreation Ground
SC Villa1 - 2Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Ngonde (69')
Owori (19'), Kibande (83')
Lwanga (90')
Owori (19'), Kibande (83')
Lwanga (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the CAF Champions League First Preliminary Round clash between SC Villa and Ethiopia Nigd Bank.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Villa win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Ethiopia Nigd Bank had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Ethiopia Nigd Bank win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
SC Villa | Draw | Ethiopia Nigd Bank |
42.18% ( 1.04) | 27.61% ( 0.02) | 30.21% ( -1.07) |
Both teams to score 47.72% ( -0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.22% ( -0.43) | 57.78% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.48% ( -0.34) | 78.51% ( 0.33) |
SC Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.95% ( 0.36) | 27.05% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.58% ( 0.47) | 62.41% ( -0.48) |
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.41% ( -1.02) | 34.59% ( 1.01) |