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Champions League header

Champions League
Benfica
Champions League | League Stage
Oct 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Feyenoord

Benfica
1 - 3
Feyenoord

Akturkoglu (66')
Amdouni (90+1'), Sanches (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ueda (12'), Milambo (33', 90+2')
Maduro (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Benfica and Feyenoord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Pevidem 0-2 Benfica
Saturday, October 19 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Feyenoord

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 1-5 Feyenoord
Saturday, October 19 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: Benfica 2-0 Feyenoord

 Feyenoord are certainly showing signs of improvement, but there is no doubting Benfica's superiority on paper, and there are fewer sides in better form on the continent right now. The 4-0 win over Atletico on matchday two was a statement of intent from a Benfica side that quite often fall short in this competition, and a third win from three will see them put one foot in the knockout round already. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
BenficaDrawFeyenoord
48.88% (0.589 0.59) 23.3% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 27.82% (-0.512 -0.51)
Both teams to score 60% (-0.137 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.9% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)41.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.5% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)63.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.98% (0.22200000000001 0.22)17.01% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.85% (0.39 0.39)47.15% (-0.391 -0.39)
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3% (-0.36 -0.36)27.7% (0.359 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.74% (-0.465 -0.47)63.26% (0.464 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 48.88%
    Feyenoord 27.82%
    Draw 23.29%
BenficaDrawFeyenoord
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.044 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.39% (0.109 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.6% (0.067 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.096 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.6% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.48% (0.048 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.93% (0.056 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 48.88%
1-1 @ 10.71% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.09% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.71%
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.29%
1-2 @ 6.88% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-1 @ 6.05% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.88% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 27.82%

How you voted: Benfica vs Feyenoord

Benfica
85.0%
Draw
8.9%
Feyenoord
6.1%
213
Head to Head
Jul 28, 2024 8pm
Club Friendlies
Benfica
5-0
Feyenoord
Prestianni (9'), Pavlidis (13', 14'), Beste (18'), Cabral (89')
Pavlidis (51')

Geertruida (17'), Beelen (28')
> Preview
Jul 30, 2023 3pm
Club Friendlies
Feyenoord
2-1
Benfica
Paixao (12'), Gimenez (34')
Musa (85')
di Maria (30')
rhs 2.0
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