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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 74.62%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 10.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 3-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Feyenoord in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Feyenoord.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | NAC Breda |
74.62% ( 0.47) | 15.06% ( -0.21) | 10.32% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 55.1% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.81% ( 0.22) | 31.19% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.38% ( 0.26) | 52.62% ( -0.27) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.93% ( 0.14) | 7.06% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.21% ( 0.38) | 25.79% ( -0.38) |
NAC Breda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.29% ( -0.32) | 40.71% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.7% ( -0.29) | 77.3% ( 0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | NAC Breda |
2-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.39% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.83% Total : 74.61% | 1-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 15.06% | 1-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.35% Total : 10.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |