Champions League | League Stage
Oct 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica4 - 0Atletico
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Benfica 5-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, September 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, September 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
17
Last Game: Atletico 1-1 Real Madrid
Sunday, September 29 at 8pm in La Liga
Sunday, September 29 at 8pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
12
We said: Benfica 1-1 Atletico Madrid
Unbeaten since the arrival of new head coach Lage, Benfica should be relatively confident of providing a serious test for Atletico Madrid on Wednesday night. Los Colchoneros can extend their unbeaten run to 10 matches with a positive result in Lisbon, and we reckon that Simeone's troops will manage that particular feat with a share of the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
49.47% ( -0.34) | 24% ( -0.34) | 26.52% ( 0.67) |
| Both teams to score 56.46% ( 1.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
