Champions League | League Stage
Sep 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade du Roudourou
Brest2 - 1Sturm Graz
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PSG 3-1 Brest
Saturday, September 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, September 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Sturm Graz 4-2 Swarovski
Saturday, August 31 at 6.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Saturday, August 31 at 6.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
10
We said: Brest 2-1 Sturm Graz
Taking into account the fact that Sturm Graz have not played a competitive match for over two weeks and will be lacking match sharpness, it is difficult to back the visitors claiming a positive result against a Brest outfit who will be as motivated as ever to mark their Champions League debut with a victory in front of their own fans. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Brest in this match.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Sturm Graz |
31.76% ( 0.34) | 24.96% ( 0.02) | 43.27% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 56.66% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.44% ( 0.03) | 46.56% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.17% ( 0.03) | 68.83% ( -0.03) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.21% ( 0.24) | 27.79% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.63% ( 0.3) | 63.37% ( -0.3) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.47% ( -0.15) | 21.53% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.4% ( -0.24) | 54.6% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
Brest 31.76%
Sturm Graz 43.27%
Draw 24.96%
| Brest | Draw | Sturm Graz |
| 1-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.85% Total : 31.76% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 43.27% |
How you voted: Brest vs Sturm Graz
Brest
58.3%Draw
16.1%Sturm Graz
25.7%230
Form Guide
