Ligue 1 | Gameweek 2
Aug 25, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lens2 - 0Brest
We said: Lens 2-1 Brest
After success on the opening weekend of Ligue 1 and during the Conference League earlier this week, Lens should be full of confidence as they take on Brest on Sunday. Les Pirates were woeful on home soil against Marseille last time out, and we feel that Eric Roy's side will suffer another defeat to conclude a challenging August. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 53.88%. A win for Brest had a probability of 23.08% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Brest |
53.88% ( 0.22) | 23.04% ( -0.06) | 23.08% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 56% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.83% ( 0.1) | 44.18% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.45% ( 0.1) | 66.56% ( -0.09) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.67% ( 0.12) | 16.34% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.07% ( 0.21) | 45.93% ( -0.2) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.93% ( -0.08) | 33.07% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.33% ( -0.09) | 69.67% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
Lens 53.88%
Brest 23.08%
Draw 23.03%
| Lens | Draw | Brest |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.29% Total : 53.88% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 23.08% |
How you voted: Lens vs Brest
Lens
81.5%Draw
13.0%Brest
5.6%54
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 8pm
Aug 13, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 1
Brest
3-2
Lens
Feb 5, 2023 4.05pm
Jan 22, 2023 8pm
Aug 7, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 1
Lens
3-2
Brest
Belkebla (66'), Del Castillo (82' pen.)
Lees-Melou (31'), Belaili (43'), Brassier (62'), Chardonnet (71')
Lees-Melou (31'), Belaili (43'), Brassier (62'), Chardonnet (71')
