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Ligue 1
PSG logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Sep 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Brest logo

PSG
3 - 1
Brest

Dembele (42', 74'), Ruiz (73')
Beraldo (26'), Mendes (28')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Del Castillo (29' pen.)
Camara (39'), Ajorque (49'), Chardonnet (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-3 PSG
Sunday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Brest

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 4-0 St Etienne
Saturday, August 31 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-0 Brest

 Trying to get one over PSG has been a fruitless task for Brest for years, and Les Pirates' fortunes against the champions should not change in the capital this weekend, even with the hosts weaker in midfield than they were at the beginning of the month. Enrique's attackers have been scoring for fun and sharing the goals around so far this term, so another dominant win for the champions is the only outcome we can envisage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Brest had a probability of 14.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawBrest
67.68% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 17.97% (0.038 0.04) 14.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Both teams to score 57.11% (-0.146 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.16% (-0.18600000000001 -0.19)34.84% (0.185 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.19% (-0.207 -0.21)56.81% (0.207 0.21)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.55% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)9.45% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.25% (-0.14 -0.14)31.74% (0.138 0.14)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.07% (-0.12 -0.12)36.93% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.28% (-0.118 -0.12)73.71% (0.117 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 67.68%
    Brest 14.35%
    Draw 17.97%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawBrest
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.23% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 7.64% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.61% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.5% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.24% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.12% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 4.51%
Total : 67.68%
1-1 @ 8.2% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.49% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 17.97%
1-2 @ 4.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 3.48% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.73% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.36% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 14.35%

How you voted: PSG vs Brest

Paris Saint-Germain
92.3%
Draw
3.8%
Brest
3.8%
104
Head to Head
Feb 7, 2024 8.10pm
Round of 16
PSG
3-1
Brest
Mbappe (34'), Pereira (37'), Ramos (90+2')
Mounie (65')
Magnetti (14'), Brassier (60')
Brassier (69')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
PSG
2-2
Brest
Asensio (38'), Kolo (45')
Hernandez (26'), Mbappe (53'), Zaire-Emery (58'), Barcola (90+2')
Barcola (90+4')
Camara (55'), Pereira Lage (80')
Lees-Melou (32'), Lala (53'), Brassier (59')
> Preview
Oct 29, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 10
Brest
2-3
PSG
Mounie (43'), Le Douaron (52')
Roy (0'), Brassier (86'), Martin (87'), Bizot (88')
Zaire-Emery (16'), Mbappe (28', 89')
Hakimi (87'), Ruiz (88'), Mbappe (89'), Kolo (90+4')
> Preview
Mar 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 27
Brest
1-2
PSG
Honorat (43')
Soler (37'), Mbappe (90')
> Preview
Sep 10, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 7
PSG
1-0
Brest
Neymar (30')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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