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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
PSG logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Sep 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Brest logo

PSG
3 - 1
Brest

Dembele (42', 74'), Ruiz (73')
Beraldo (26'), Mendes (28')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Del Castillo (29' pen.)
Camara (39'), Ajorque (49'), Chardonnet (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 1-3 PSG
Sunday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 4-0 St Etienne
Saturday, August 31 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-0 Brest

Trying to get one over PSG has been a fruitless task for Brest for years, and Les Pirates' fortunes against the champions should not change in the capital this weekend, even with the hosts weaker in midfield than they were at the beginning of the month. Enrique's attackers have been scoring for fun and sharing the goals around so far this term, so another dominant win for the champions is the only outcome we can envisage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Brest had a probability of 14.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawBrest
67.68% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 17.97% (0.038 0.04) 14.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Both teams to score 57.11% (-0.146 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.16% (-0.18600000000001 -0.19)34.84% (0.185 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.19% (-0.207 -0.21)56.81% (0.207 0.21)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.55% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)9.45% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.25% (-0.14 -0.14)31.74% (0.138 0.14)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.07% (-0.12 -0.12)36.93% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.28% (-0.118 -0.12)73.71% (0.117 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 67.68%
    Brest 14.35%
    Draw 17.97%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawBrest
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.23% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 7.64% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.61% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.5% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.24% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.12% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 4.51%
Total : 67.68%
1-1 @ 8.2% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.49% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 17.97%
1-2 @ 4.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 3.48% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.73% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.36% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 14.35%

How you voted: PSG vs Brest

Paris Saint-Germain
Draw
Brest
Paris Saint-Germain
92.3%
Draw
3.8%
Brest
3.8%
104
Head to Head
Feb 7, 2024 8.10pm
Round of 16
PSG
3-1
Brest
Mbappe (34'), Pereira (37'), Ramos (90+2')
Mounie (65')
Magnetti (14'), Brassier (60')
Brassier (69')
Jan 28, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
PSG
2-2
Brest
Asensio (38'), Kolo (45')
Hernandez (26'), Mbappe (53'), Zaire-Emery (58'), Barcola (90+2')
Barcola (90+4')
Camara (55'), Pereira Lage (80')
Lees-Melou (32'), Lala (53'), Brassier (59')
Oct 29, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 10
Brest
2-3
PSG
Mounie (43'), Le Douaron (52')
Roy (0'), Brassier (86'), Martin (87'), Bizot (88')
Zaire-Emery (16'), Mbappe (28', 89')
Hakimi (87'), Ruiz (88'), Mbappe (89'), Kolo (90+4')
Mar 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 27
Brest
1-2
PSG
Honorat (43')
Soler (37'), Mbappe (90')
Sep 10, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 7
PSG
1-0
Brest
Neymar (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG32246285335278
2Marseille32185967442359
3MonacoMonaco32177861372458
4Nice32169760392157
5Lille32169750331757
6StrasbourgStrasbourg32169753391457
7Lyon321661063441954
8Lens32146123738-148
9Brest32145135053-347
10Auxerre32118134647-141
11Rennes32122184746138
12Toulouse32108144040038
13Reims3289153243-1133
14Angers3296173050-2033
15NantesNantes32711143551-1632
16Le HavreLe Havre3294193666-3031
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3276193574-3927
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier3244242272-5016


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