Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Brest had a probability of 14.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Brest |
67.68% (![]() | 17.97% (![]() | 14.35% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.11% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.16% (![]() | 34.84% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.19% (![]() | 56.81% (![]() |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.55% (![]() | 9.45% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.25% (![]() | 31.74% (![]() |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.07% (![]() | 36.93% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.28% (![]() | 73.71% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Brest |
2-0 @ 9.71% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.67% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.23% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.64% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.61% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.5% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.49% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.79% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 4.51% Total : 67.68% | 1-1 @ 8.2% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.82% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.49% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 0.2% Total : 17.97% | 1-2 @ 4.09% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.48% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.36% ( ![]() Other @ 2.1% Total : 14.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 25 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 70 | 24 | 46 | 65 |
2 | Marseille | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 49 |
3 | Nice | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 46 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Lille | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Lyon | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 40 |
8 | Lens | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 36 |
9 | Brest | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 36 |
10 | Toulouse | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 34 |
11 | Auxerre | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Rennes | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 29 |
13 | Angers | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 27 |
14 | NantesNantes | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 24 |
15 | Reims | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 22 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 21 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 20 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |