Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Brest had a probability of 14.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Brest |
67.68% ( -0.04) | 17.97% ( 0.04) | 14.35% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 57.11% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.16% ( -0.19) | 34.84% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.19% ( -0.21) | 56.81% ( 0.21) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.55% ( -0.06) | 9.45% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.25% ( -0.14) | 31.74% ( 0.14) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.07% ( -0.12) | 36.93% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.28% ( -0.12) | 73.71% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Brest |
2-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.51% Total : 67.68% | 1-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 17.97% | 1-2 @ 4.09% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 14.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | MonacoMonaco | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 17 |
3 | Marseille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 14 |
4 | Reims | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
5 | Lille | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Lens | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 10 |
8 | Lyon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
9 | Nice | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
10 | NantesNantes | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
11 | Brest | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 9 |
12 | Rennes | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 7 |
14 | Auxerre | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 6 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 6 |
16 | Toulouse | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 5 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 4 |
18 | Angers | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |