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The Match

Team News

Chelsea forward Romelu Lukaku drops to the substitutes' bench for Tuesday's Champions League fixture against Lille at Stamford Bridge.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Chelsea and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Tuesday's Champions League last-16 first leg with Lille.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League last-16 first leg with Lille.

We said: Chelsea 2-0 Lille

There is always a danger of Lille breaching the opposition defence when David and Yilmaz are on song, but Les Dogues' form since the turn of the year makes it extremely difficult to envisage any shocks in the English capital. Chelsea have been far from inspiring despite their strong run of results, but a freshened-up team will expect to run out convincing winners and take a healthy first-leg advantage to the Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 47.19%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Lille had a probability of 24.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Lille win it was 0-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Chelsea in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chelsea.

Result
ChelseaDrawLille
47.19%28.49%24.32%
Both teams to score 41.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.49%63.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.17%82.83%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.86%27.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.47%62.53%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.24%42.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.92%79.08%
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 47.18%
    Lille 24.32%
    Draw 28.48%
ChelseaDrawLille
1-0 @ 15.13%
2-0 @ 9.87%
2-1 @ 8.39%
3-0 @ 4.29%
3-1 @ 3.65%
3-2 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 1.4%
4-1 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 47.18%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 11.6%
2-2 @ 3.56%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 28.48%
0-1 @ 9.86%
1-2 @ 5.46%
0-2 @ 4.19%
1-3 @ 1.55%
0-3 @ 1.19%
2-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 24.32%

How you voted: Chelsea vs Lille

Chelsea
78.8%
Draw
11.9%
Lille
9.3%
386
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2019 8pm
Oct 2, 2019 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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