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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Jan 22, 2022 at 4pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Lille

Brest
2 - 0
Lille

Djalo (3' og.), Mounie (90+5' pen.)
Mounie (11'), Agoume (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Yilmaz (54'), Mandava (57'), Sanches (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Brest 1-2 Lille

Whilst Brest will be desperate to return to winning ways - and will have home advantage - Lille have rediscovered some of the form that took them to a shock title last year, and we think they will have too much for Les Pirates on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Brest had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawLille
32.91%25.83%41.26%
Both teams to score 54.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.05%49.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.06%71.93%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.28%28.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.45%64.55%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.03%23.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.79%58.21%
Score Analysis
    Brest 32.91%
    Lille 41.26%
    Draw 25.82%
BrestDrawLille
1-0 @ 8.59%
2-1 @ 7.65%
2-0 @ 5.36%
3-1 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 2.27%
3-0 @ 2.23%
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 32.91%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 6.88%
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 9.83%
1-2 @ 8.76%
0-2 @ 7.02%
1-3 @ 4.17%
0-3 @ 3.34%
2-3 @ 2.6%
1-4 @ 1.49%
0-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 41.26%

How you voted: Brest vs Lille

Brest
10.0%
Draw
7.5%
Lille
82.5%
40
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 11
Lille
1-1
Brest
David (19')
Mandava (31')
Faivre (32')
Herelle (70'), Bizot (90+1')
Feb 14, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 25
Lille
0-0
Brest
Celik (44'), Bamba (75')
Belkebla (7')
Nov 8, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 10
Brest
3-2
Lille
Pierre-Gabriel (15'), Perraud (19'), Cardona (42')
Chardonnet (52'), Mounie (56'), Larsonneur (87'), Faussurier (90+1')
Yilmaz (45+3' pen., 57')
Yilmaz (45+3'), Mandava (64'), Fonte (90+4')
Mar 14, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 29
Brest
P-P
Lille
Dec 6, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 17
Lille
1-0
Brest
Osimhen (16')

Larsonneur (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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