Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21

Jan 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
1 - 1
Lille

Under (75')
Guendouzi (4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Botman (15')
Andre (30'), Grbic (55'), Celik (55'), Lihadji (86')
Andre (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Both Marseille and Lille appeared to have turned a corner following their autumnal struggles, but the champions' inability to shut the back door away from home could cost them dear once again. Gourvennec's side always possess a goal threat of their own with David and Yilmaz partnering up top, though, and we just cannot separate the two improving giants on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 54.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Lille had a probability of 21.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Lille win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Lille
54.36%	23.8%	21.83%

Both teams to score 51.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.18%

48.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.08%

70.92%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.14%

17.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.39%

48.61%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.18%

36.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.39%

73.6%

Score Analysis

Marseille 54.36%

Lille 21.83%

Draw 23.79%

Marseille	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 11.32% 2-0 @ 9.76% 2-1 @ 9.75% 3-0 @ 5.6% 3-1 @ 5.6% 3-2 @ 2.8% 4-0 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.5% Total : 54.36%	1-1 @ 11.31% 0-0 @ 6.57% 2-2 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.79%	0-1 @ 6.57% 1-2 @ 5.65% 0-2 @ 3.28% 1-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.62% 0-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.73% Total : 21.83%