Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 15, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Maksimir
Dinamo Zagreb1 - 2AEK Athens
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 Gorica
Saturday, August 5 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Saturday, August 5 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Trabzonspor 1-3 AEK Athens
Sunday, July 30 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Sunday, July 30 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
We said: Dinamo Zagreb 3-1 AEK Athens
While Dinamo's four-game run without conceding could end on Tuesday, the Croatian outfit should defeat AEK comfortably in Zagreb to put themselves in the driver's seat after the first leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | AEK Athens |
44.47% ( 0.02) | 23.86% ( -0.01) | 31.66% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.5% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.48% ( 0.05) | 41.51% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.08% ( 0.05) | 63.91% ( -0.05) |
| Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.08% ( 0.02) | 18.92% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.58% ( 0.05) | 50.41% ( -0.05) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.62% ( 0.02) | 25.38% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.82% ( 0.02) | 60.18% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Dinamo Zagreb 44.48%
AEK Athens 31.66%
Draw 23.85%
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | AEK Athens |
| 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.66% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 3.38% Total : 44.48% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.85% | 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.44% 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.66% |
How you voted: Dinamo Zagreb vs AEK Athens
Dinamo Zagreb
68.5%Draw
8.2%AEK Athens
23.3%73
Form Guide
