![Ferencvaros Ferencvaros](https://sm.imgix.net/19/46/ferlog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 13, 2022 at 7pm UK
Groupama Aréna
Ferencvaros5 - 1Tobol
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Ferencvaros 2-1 Tobol
Tobol more than held their own in the first leg last week, but it is a big ask for them to triumph on Wednesday night. We are expecting it to be a tight affair but believe that Ferencvaros will ultimately have too much and are backing the Hungarian side to advance to the second qualifying round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Tobol had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Tobol win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.
Result | ||
Ferencvaros | Draw | Tobol |
44.13% (![]() | 25.79% (![]() | 30.08% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.15% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.22% (![]() | 50.77% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.33% (![]() | 72.67% (![]() |
Ferencvaros Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.07% | 22.92% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.31% | 56.69% (![]() |
Tobol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.96% (![]() | 31.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.64% (![]() | 67.36% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ferencvaros 44.13%
Tobol 30.08%
Draw 25.79%
Ferencvaros | Draw | Tobol |
1-0 @ 10.48% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.03% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.72% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.43% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.79% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.1% Total : 44.13% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 7.12% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.28% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 8.33% 1-2 @ 7.17% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.87% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.9% ( ![]() Other @ 2.96% Total : 30.08% |
How you voted: Ferencvaros vs Tobol
Ferencvaros
92.9%Draw
7.1%Tobol
0.0%42
Head to Head
Jul 6, 2022 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-02 17:29:39
Tuesday, July 2
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Portugal
vs.
France
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
England
vs.
Switzerland
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
1
![Romania vs. Netherlands - prediction, team news, lineups Romania vs. Netherlands - prediction, team news, lineups](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Romania vs. Netherlands - prediction, team news, lineups
2
![Austria vs. Turkey - prediction, team news, lineups Austria vs. Turkey - prediction, team news, lineups](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Austria vs. Turkey - prediction, team news, lineups
3
!["Unlikely" - Liverpool suffer defender blow despite Arne Slot discussions "Unlikely" - Liverpool suffer defender blow despite Arne Slot discussions](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
"Unlikely" - Liverpool suffer defender blow despite Arne Slot discussions
4
![Diogo Costa: Where next for Portugal's Euro 2024 hero? Diogo Costa: Where next for Portugal's Euro 2024 hero?](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Diogo Costa: Where next for Portugal's Euro 2024 hero?
5
![Man City to Chelsea again? Blues 'interested' in 21-year-old midfielder Man City to Chelsea again? Blues 'interested' in 21-year-old midfielder](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Man City to Chelsea again? Blues 'interested' in 21-year-old midfielder
6
![De Ligt 'makes decision' on potential Manchester United transfer De Ligt 'makes decision' on potential Manchester United transfer](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
De Ligt 'makes decision' on potential Manchester United transfer
7
![Waterford vs. St Patrick's - prediction, team news, lineups Waterford vs. St Patrick's - prediction, team news, lineups](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Waterford vs. St Patrick's - prediction, team news, lineups
8
![Portugal vs. Slovenia - prediction, team news, lineups Portugal vs. Slovenia - prediction, team news, lineups](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Portugal vs. Slovenia - prediction, team news, lineups
9
![Tuesday's Euro 2024 predictions including Romania vs. Netherlands Tuesday's Euro 2024 predictions including Romania vs. Netherlands](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Tuesday's Euro 2024 predictions including Romania vs. Netherlands
10
![Argentina vs. Ecuador - prediction, team news, lineups Argentina vs. Ecuador - prediction, team news, lineups](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Argentina vs. Ecuador - prediction, team news, lineups
![As featured on NewsNow: Sport news As featured on NewsNow: Sport news](https://sm.imgix.net/12/40/newsnow_f_ab.gif?w=160&h=50)
Sport News 24/7