MX23RW : Tuesday, October 1 06:57:13| >> :120:26651:26651:
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ortalıq Stadion
Ferencvaros

Tobol
0 - 0
Ferencvaros


Jovancic (32'), Kairov (38')
FT

Vecsei (33'), Boli (38'), Laidouni (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Tobol and Ferencvaros, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Zilina 5-0 Tobol
Thursday, August 12 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Ferencvaros 1-0 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, December 9 at 8pm in Europa League
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We said: Tobol 1-2 Ferencvaros

Tobol are certainly capable of making this an uncomfortable first leg for Ferencvaros, but we are finding it difficult to back against the Hungarian outfit, who should be able to claim an advantage ahead of the return fixture on July 13. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Tobol had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Tobol win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
TobolDrawFerencvaros
33.59% (0.00099999999999767 0) 25.79% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 40.62% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.51% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.37% (0.022999999999996 0.02)49.63% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.35% (0.021999999999998 0.02)71.65% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Tobol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.87% (0.010999999999996 0.01)28.13% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.19% (0.013999999999996 0.01)63.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
Ferencvaros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85% (0.013000000000005 0.01)24.15% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (0.018999999999998 0.02)58.47% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Tobol 33.59%
    Ferencvaros 40.62%
    Draw 25.79%
TobolDrawFerencvaros
1-0 @ 8.62% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 7.76%
2-0 @ 5.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.31%
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 33.59%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 6.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 9.65% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 8.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.46% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 40.62%

How you voted: Tobol vs Ferencvaros

Tobol
10.9%
Draw
12.5%
Ferencvaros
76.6%
64
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