Champions League | Round of 16
Aug 7, 2020 at 8pm UK
Juventus Stadium
Juventus2 - 1Lyon
The Match
Match Report
Memphis Depay's early penalty proved crucial for the French side to progress.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Champions League last-16 second leg between Juventus and Lyon, including team news and predicted lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 70.51%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Lyon had a probability of 13.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.34%), while for a Lyon win it was 1-2 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Juventus in this match.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Lyon |
| 70.51% | 15.73% | 13.76% |
| Both teams to score 64.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.25% | 24.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.41% | 44.59% |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.67% | 6.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 76.19% | 23.81% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.2% | 30.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.93% | 67.07% |
| Score Analysis |
Juventus 70.51%
Lyon 13.76%
Draw 15.73%
| Juventus | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-1 @ 8.75% 3-1 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 7.43% 3-0 @ 6.83% 4-1 @ 5.55% 1-0 @ 5.38% 3-2 @ 4.74% 4-0 @ 4.71% 4-2 @ 3.27% 5-1 @ 3.06% 5-0 @ 2.6% 5-2 @ 1.8% 6-1 @ 1.41% 4-3 @ 1.28% 6-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 4.46% Total : 70.51% | 1-1 @ 6.34% 2-2 @ 5.15% 0-0 @ 1.95% 3-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 0.43% Total : 15.73% | 1-2 @ 3.73% 0-1 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-3 @ 1.47% 0-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.89% Total : 13.76% |
