Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Roma had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Roma |
49.65% | 22.56% | 27.79% |
Both teams to score 62.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.39% | 37.61% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.15% | 59.85% |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.56% | 15.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.71% | 44.29% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.08% | 25.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.08% | 60.92% |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Roma |
2-1 @ 9.43% 1-0 @ 7.48% 2-0 @ 6.99% 3-1 @ 5.87% 3-0 @ 4.35% 3-2 @ 3.96% 4-1 @ 2.74% 4-0 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.85% 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.92% Total : 49.65% | 1-1 @ 10.09% 2-2 @ 6.37% 0-0 @ 4% 3-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.55% | 1-2 @ 6.82% 0-1 @ 5.4% 0-2 @ 3.65% 1-3 @ 3.07% 2-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 1.64% 1-4 @ 1.04% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.35% Total : 27.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 56 |
2 | Inter Milan | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 58 | 23 | 35 | 54 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 51 |
4 | Lazio | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 46 |
5 | Juventus | 24 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 43 |
6 | Fiorentina | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 42 |
7 | AC Milan | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 41 |
8 | Bologna | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 41 |
9 | Roma | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 34 |
10 | Udinese | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 30 |
11 | Torino | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 28 |
12 | Genoa | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 27 |
13 | CagliariCagliari | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 25 |
14 | Lecce | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 24 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 25 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 23 |
16 | Como | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 22 |
17 | Empoli | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 21 |
18 | Parma | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 24 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |