Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

Aug 1, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Allianz Stadium

Juventus
1 - 3
Roma

Higuain (5')
Rugani (21')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Kalinic (23'), Perotti (44' pen., 52')
Smalling (40'), Perotti (45+1'), Cristante (54'), Fazio (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Roma, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Roma had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Roma
49.65%	22.56%	27.79%

Both teams to score 62.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.39%

37.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.15%

59.85%

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.56%

15.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.71%

44.29%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.08%

25.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.08%

60.92%

Score Analysis

Juventus 49.65%

Roma 27.79%

Draw 22.55%

Juventus	Draw	Roma
2-1 @ 9.43% 1-0 @ 7.48% 2-0 @ 6.99% 3-1 @ 5.87% 3-0 @ 4.35% 3-2 @ 3.96% 4-1 @ 2.74% 4-0 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.85% 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.92% Total : 49.65%	1-1 @ 10.09% 2-2 @ 6.37% 0-0 @ 4% 3-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.55%	1-2 @ 6.82% 0-1 @ 5.4% 0-2 @ 3.65% 1-3 @ 3.07% 2-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 1.64% 1-4 @ 1.04% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.35% Total : 27.79%