Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 6, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stade du Hainaut
Lille2 - 1Fenerbahce
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lille 3-1 Celta Vigo
Tuesday, July 30 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Tuesday, July 30 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Fenerbahce 2-1 Lugano
Tuesday, July 30 at 6pm in Champions League
Tuesday, July 30 at 6pm in Champions League
We said: Lille 2-2 Fenerbahce
Fener may be able to catch Lille out early on, as the hosts have had no competitive action yet and will take time to get up to full speed. With both sides boasting plenty of European nous and attacking flair, a few goals should be expected in this first leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Lille had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 34.64% | 25.12% | 40.24% |
| Both teams to score 57.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.55% | 46.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.27% | 68.72% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.04% | 25.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.03% | 60.97% |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.06% | 22.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.29% | 56.7% |
| Score Analysis |
Lille 34.64%
Fenerbahce 40.24%
Draw 25.11%
| Lille | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 1-0 @ 8.03% 2-1 @ 7.97% 2-0 @ 5.41% 3-1 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 2.64% 3-0 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.36% Total : 34.64% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 5.95% 2-2 @ 5.87% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 8.77% 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-2 @ 6.46% 1-3 @ 4.27% 0-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 1.57% 0-4 @ 1.17% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.19% Total : 40.24% |
How you voted: Lille vs Finalist 1
Lille
36.4%Draw
26.0%Finalist 1
37.7%154
