While Linfield were on the right end of an astonishing comeback in their first-round second leg, Bodo/Glimt could have very well been battling for their place in the Conference League, and Knutsen will be determined to avoid any similar scares from here on in. The hosts will be as dogged on the defensive side as ever, but losing Cooper in the manner in which they did was a bitter blow, and we can only back Bodo/Glimt to claim a healthy first-leg lead. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.7%) and 0-1 (5.36%). The likeliest Linfield win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Linfield	Draw	Bodo/Glimt
32.19% ( -0.83)	21.6% ( -0.59)	46.21% ( 1.42)

Both teams to score 69.28% (

1.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.87% (

2.65)

30.13% (

-2.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.65% (

3.12)

51.35% (

-3.13)

Linfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.41% (

0.84)

19.59% (

-0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.47% (

1.35)

51.53% (

-1.35)

Bodo/Glimt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.16% (

1.51)

13.84% (

-1.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.8% (

2.91)

41.2% (

-2.91)

Score Analysis

Linfield 32.19%

Bodo/Glimt 46.21%

Draw 21.6%

Linfield	Draw	Bodo/Glimt
2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.29) 1-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.56) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.35) 3-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.1) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.23% Total : 32.19%	1-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.59) 2-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.43) 3-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.23) Other @ 0.58% Total : 21.6%	1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 5.7% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.52) 0-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 4.64% ( 0.31) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 2.82% ( 0.26) 2-4 @ 2.3% ( 0.26) 0-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.12) 3-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.17) 1-5 @ 1.12% ( 0.16) 2-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.95% Total : 46.21%