Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 7, 2021 at 6pm UK
Eleda Stadion (Malmö)
Malmo1 - 0Riga FC
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Champions League First Qualifying Round clash between Malmo and Riga FC.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Riga FC had a probability of 22.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Riga FC win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malmo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Riga FC |
| 53.73% | 23.92% | 22.34% |
| Both teams to score 52.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.22% | 48.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.12% | 70.88% |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.93% | 18.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.01% | 48.99% |
| Riga FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.69% | 36.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.9% | 73.09% |
| Score Analysis |
Malmo 53.73%
Riga FC 22.34%
Draw 23.92%
| Malmo | Draw | Riga FC |
| 1-0 @ 11.22% 2-1 @ 9.73% 2-0 @ 9.6% 3-1 @ 5.55% 3-0 @ 5.48% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 2.37% 4-0 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.43% Total : 53.73% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 6.56% 2-2 @ 4.93% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.92% | 0-1 @ 6.65% 1-2 @ 5.76% 0-2 @ 3.37% 1-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.82% Total : 22.34% |
How you voted: Malmo vs Riga FC
Malmo
86.7%Draw
3.3%Riga FC
10.0%30
